Tag Archives: Survivor Season 33

Survivor Season 33 Metrics, Final 6

At the website http://www.survivormetrics.com/ a formula was made to determine the best physical threats based off the IQ test.  The website has not updated since season 27 ended, but I have received permission to use the formula and post results (and give credit to the blogger who made the formula).

Image result for survivor ken

With eight people left the first challenge was for 4.5 points. Losers lost 0.64.  Jay won it.  Ken then won a challenge worth 4.  Losing would cost 0.67.  The new score is.

Jay 110.15

Ken 106.47

David 101.64

Adam 99.71

Will 10o.3

Taylor 99.91

Michelle 99.42

Bret/Sunday 98.89

Chris 98.21

Zeke 98.06

Jessica 94.61

Hannah 94.25

Jay is well in the lead, but he may need to win out.

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Survivor 33 Final 9 Survivor Metrics

Image result for survivor david

At the website http://www.survivormetrics.com/ a formula was made to determine the best physical threats based off the IQ test.  The website has not updated since season 27 ended, but I have received permission to use the formula and post results (and give credit to the blogger who made the formula).

The first merge challenge was worth 7 points due to having 13 people. Losing it will cost 0.58.  That meant Will had 107 and everyone else had 99.42 points.

Afterwards Bret, Chris, David, Ken, Sunday and Taylor won a reward.  That is 1.08 points for each of them and it will cost Zeke, Jay, Adam, Hannah, Jessica, and Will 1.08  For immunity Ken won 6.5 points.  Everyone else lost 0.59.  The scores going into the double episode are

Ken 107

Will  105.33

Bret/Chris/David/Sunday/Taylor 99.91

Michelle 99.42

Zeke/Jay/Adam/Hannah/Jessica 97.75

For todays challenges first at the final eleven the challenges are worth six points, except only ten people competed for reward moving it to 5.5 points.  Winning or losing was for plus or minus 1.1 points.  Jay did not participate.  For immunity David won 6 points, and everyone else lost 0.6.  In the final 10 David did not participate for reward making it worth 5 points.  Winning would gain 1.67.  Losing would cost 0.83.  Bret, Zeke, and Sunday won.  For immunity Jay won 5.5 points.  Everyone else lost 0.61

David 104.2

Ken 103.86

Will 102.19

Jay 101.55

Bret/Sunday 101.47

Taylor 99.91

Michelle 99.42

Zeke 99.31

Chris 98.21

Adam/Hannah 96.81

Jessica 94.61

Surprisingly David is just barely in first place.

 

 

Survivor 33 Pre Merge Alliance Analysis

Image result for survivor millennials vs gen x merge

13 Players, 3 alliances, 2 swing votes, 7 for a majority, nine for a super majority, and 1 merge boot.

Image result for survivor millennials vs gen x merge

The biggest alliance is the Kappa Kappa Survivor/ Tri-force alliance.  Int he final fifteen they had a very high seven players, but the last two players voted out in a row, Figgy and Michaela, were in their alliance, and two members, Will and Jay flipped.  I think that at least Jay and Will are still tight and that Taylor and Michelle will go back to them giving them four.  Hannah was in their alliance.  I think Michelle will keep her with them, but she may join the Paul alliance (more on them later).

Image result for survivor millennials vs gen x

The alliance once had six members.  They then went into the merge with only three (Christ, Bret, and Sunday), but all of them survived the swap.  I think these three have become fairly tight.  They can realistically get Zeke to join them.

Image result for survivor millennials vs gen x kena nd david

The socially awkward alliance has only three members, but they also have an immunity idol.  They are Ken, David, and Jessica.

Image result for survivor millennials vs gen x zeke and adam

Zeke and Adam were earlier in an alliance, but I think they are both free agents who may turn on each other.  For two episodes Zeke was in a tribe with the leader of each alliance, which means he has his choice on who to join, and he knows David has an idol.  Adam currently has no affiliations with the Paul alliance, but he may join them.

                                        Prediction

Chris aggressively targets the Kappa Kappa Survivor alliance by trying to bring in both Gen X alliances and Zeke to have seven people.  Zeke is fine with it, but they do not recruit Adam well making him nervous of Chris.  Ken, Adam, and Jessica do not want to work with Chris, and Michelle pulls them over.  David joins his alliance giving them a super majority of 9-4 and all three idols.  Chris is the merge boot unless he wins immunity, then Bret is the merge boot.

Survivor Season 31 Post Episode 1 Pick to win it all

Image result for survivor season 33 jessica

Back at Season 26 I predicted Cochran would win after episode one.  I have not been right since, but I have come close.  In season 27 I heard spoilers, so I do not count it.  For season 28 I predicted Woo (2nd place) over L.J. (9th place) and Spencer (4th place).  In season 29 I picked Josh (11th place).  For season 30 I picked Jenn (9th place) over Tyler (7th place) and Mike (almost picked the winner).  In Season 31 I picked Spencer (tied for 2nd), and last season I picked Neal (11th place) over the eventual winner.  Based on the edit the Gen X tribe is doomed, butt he person with the best chance is Jessica.  She seems to have good awareness, and she does not come off as threatening.

From the intro I thought Zeke was doomed, but he quickly grew on me.  He made fire, became friends but not too close with everyone), and he seems to be able to join either alliance.  He is my pick to win it all.