The first challenge was worth 4.5 points for the winner (Aubry). Everyone else lost 0.64. After that Brad won 4 points next challenge. Everyone else lost 0.67 points.
- Andrea 114.55
- Brad 108.82
- Aubry 103.45
- Tai 101.2
- Troyzan 100.28
- Debbie 100.47
- Ozzy 99.92
- Hali 99.42
- Zeke 98.66
- Sarah 93.71
- Michaela 93.33
- Sierra 92.29
- Cirie 90.98
Andrea has played the best physical gam of any woman ever. Brad is clearly the biggest physical threat left, with Aubry behind him, and she has been on a role lately. Tai and Troyzan did well at the start, but since then have greatly faltered. Expect the next challenge to be a duel between Aubry and Brad fro immunity with the loser likely being voted out.
I think that if Aubry makes the finals she will win against anyone. I think her biggest threat is Julia and Julia will gun for her. But Julia is the main threat between a possible Jason-Julia alliance. I think her best move would be to get Tai, Cydney, Joe, and herself to take out Jason by convincing them he is a bigger physical threat and could get votes. Then take out Julia to put her in the final 5. Try to make the alliance think Michele was with Julia getting Cydney to target her. She could then get Joe and Tai to choose and have many options to either final 2 or 3.
The only current juror I think that will consider voting for Cydney is Debbie, and I think she will go with Aubry. It will be like Dan voting for Mike. If she votes out Aubry now her alliance will crumble giving Jason and Julia power. She has to try to take out Jason and then Michele. She then has to try to get Tai turn on Aubry, which will be very hard. She may have to try to win at the end and then vote out Aubry, but Aubry has been beating her at every challenge except one. Bad odds for Cydney.
If Julia makes the finals without Aubry I think she will win. Her best bet is to get Cydney to turn on Aubry, but I think she will gun for Tai. If that happens and somehow works the best plan is probably to get Aubry to turn on Cydney then gather Jason and Michele for a final three alliance and go to the finals with Michele over Jason to appear loyal.
Go to the finals with Joe is his only hope. At Julia’s final 5 convince Aubry to vote off Julia with him and Joe. Then turn on Aubry at 4 or 3. Remove Michele the other vote.
He needs to be in the end with Michele, Joe, or Cydney. I think his best bet is to go with Aubry to the final 4 and try to beat her in a challenge and vote her out. Rely on his advantages, physical prowess, and Aubry’s brain to get him there. Also use an extra vote now to make sure two people do not flip then bluff with idol, and he is in final 4. get rid of Julia and Jason quickly, as they are targeting him.
Besides a winner’s edit does she have any assets. She is in the middle but not enough to change the vote off. I think her best bet is to get Cydney to turn on Aubry destroying the power alliance while getting Tai to play his idol. Then remove Tai. Then Cydney. At final 4 betray Julia and go to the end with Joe and Jason.
How could Joe win? By acting like he is in control every remaining tribal council and not being at the end with Jason, Aubry, or Julia. Just maybe then.
M0st likely to go next are
Big winners are
- No one else.
After Episode 1 I picked Neal to win it all. Like season 25, Philippines, my episode 1 pick was medically evacuated. According to Stephen Fishback Neal has already revealed the bulge in his pocket was not actually the idol but some fabric. Note to self do not carry around anything in my pockets. Good bye Neal. You were shown to be a great provider. You did really well at the challenges. You were good at strategizing, and you found an idol. Your only problems were your attempts to not be a threat did not work.
I have been hearing a few fans call this the worst merge episode ever. I agree with them (at least since Heroes vs. Villains when I became a super fan). It was really disappointing. It had two redeeming qualities. One was the scramble for power of every merge episode ever. The other was I really enjoyed the Aubry-Neal alliance and we finally saw more of it that was not in a secret scene. Aubry was also really funny especially with the Oregon Trail reference. Last time I played the more advanced version my group mutinied and left me.
What will the balance of power be next? The title of next episode says it will be Beauty vs. Brawn and Aubry got a heavy winners edit indicating the Brain’s will get an episode to be in charge. The problem with wier’s edits it PRobst seems to hate this season. Could it then be we have no good winner?
I think going with the Brawn is a bad idea. Two seasons ago everyone wanted to go with the unlikable people and they ganged up. Only the largest immunity run in the games history stopped them.
My big winers are
Nick for winning immunity just like I predicted when I saw the press photos.
Aubry for realizing they are in trouble and really reading people well
Scot for taking charge and gathering a majorit alliance.
Most likely to go next are